Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.064287 11.368699 12.868415 14.741685 17.050036 19.844328 2.355162e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.096988 9.737318 11.818030 14.733007 18.857520 24.742859 3.433550e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.959187 8.696024 11.039935 14.585604 20.126120 29.120068 4.669745e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.388539 8.241479 10.877154 15.145384 22.467138 36.013109 6.856401e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.679802 7.469770 10.099534 14.546768 22.664071 39.143266 8.578743e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.097391 6.800885 9.365369 13.849678 22.449818 41.321408 1.034068e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.673078 6.316807 8.847298 13.412790 22.595608 44.386831 1.290316e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.394415 6.022924 8.590631 13.383934 23.554028 50.020812 1.780020e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.364279 6.107635 8.958413 14.571702 27.564569 67.310007 3.741729e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.255276 6.052371 9.076551 15.294320 30.789928 85.868131 8.527567e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.061330 5.838622 8.887197 15.342346 32.291011 99.833693 1.880168e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.948334 5.749574 8.911634 15.855071 35.343254 126.313011 1.194063e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.706422 5.442026 8.534895 15.491147 35.922098 143.078746 4.590861e+06
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.516838 5.214872 8.295914 15.431714 37.623467 174.056541 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.337319 4.990144 8.035615 15.270251 38.947851 208.967911 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.250571 4.922330 8.075943 15.869563 43.574989 308.174264 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.058377 4.648846 7.670403 15.228401 42.805650 334.036337 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.873903 4.378468 7.249135 14.482894 41.306043 343.663381 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.729058 4.172774 6.946013 14.016280 40.918276 379.322116 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.632815 4.051163 6.808362 13.985478 42.606955 490.876591 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.644255 4.130857 7.105186 15.255087 51.957111 1255.024015 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.613356 4.127417 7.220944 16.029192 59.731329 3685.647441 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.535762 4.028304 7.112496 16.080684 63.112200 9266.608334 NaN